How much revenue did Duck Paradox make?

$22k–$60k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Duck Paradox sell?

Q: How many copies did Duck Paradox sell?

8k to 13k copies, based on its 328 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 8k–13k; $22k–$60k after Steam's cut $41k–$92k before the cut; from 328 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Duck Paradox out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Duck Paradox's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–46k

best case 1.8M (FlatOut 2)

Games like Duck Paradox

The middle of these games

≈ 2k–46k copies

≈ $3k–$262k after Steam's cut

from ~125 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

2 of your 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Bowling (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: FlatOut 2 at ≈ 1.4M–2.3M copies, ≈ $3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 18 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 3 to 459.

Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Bowling (4 of 8) and Sports (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Racing + Combat Racing, priced around $10.
The era: The games you compared span 2006 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Sparedevil 2024	Est. copies ≈ 4k–6k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $12k–$32k after Steam's cut $22k–$49k before the cut	$11.99	146 reviews Very Positive	FPSAction
PewDiePie: Legend of the Brofist 2015	Est. copies ≈ 82k–133k 13x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $180k–$483k after Steam's cut $327k–$744k before the cut	$7.99	2k reviews Very Positive	MemesPixel Graphics
All-In-One Sports VR 2023	Est. copies ≈ 19k–31k 6.2x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $105k–$282k after Steam's cut $191k–$434k before the cut	$19.99	769 reviews Very Positive	VRSimulation
FlatOut 2 2006	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M 177x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before the cut	$9.99	22k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RacingCombat Racing
ImpossiBowl 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	76 reviews Very Positive	BowlingPrecision Platformer
Roxy Raccoon's Bowling Bash 2022	Est. copies ≈ 570–927 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $782–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before the cut	$4.99	23 reviews Positive	Bowling3D Platformer
Bocce Revolution 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before the cut	$4.99	30 reviews Positive	Turn-Based TacticsPhysics
BandRoll 2023	Est. copies ≈ 3k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before the cut	$1.99	104 reviews Very Positive	Early AccessRhythm