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How many copies did What the Fog sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 59k–96k
$81k–$218k after Steam's cut $148k–$336k before the cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left What the Fog out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including What the Fog's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 877k–5.5M
best case 33.1M (The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth)
Games like What the Fog

The middle of these games

≈ 877k–5.5M copies

≈ $7.4M–$47.2M after Steam's cut

from ~39k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth at ≈ 25.2M–41.0M copies, ≈ $104.0M–$279.6M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 37k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2k to 103k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Action Roguelike (6 of 8) and Rogue-like (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Rogue-like, priced around $15.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Risk of Rain 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 8.7M–14.2M
9.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$59.9M–$161.2M after Steam's cut $109.0M–$248.0M before the cut
$24.99
352k reviews
Very Positive
Third-Person ShooterAction Roguelike
Gunfire Reborn
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.1M–$38.0M after Steam's cut $25.7M–$58.4M before the cut
$19.99
104k reviews
Very Positive
The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth
2014
Est. copies
≈ 25.2M–41.0M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$104.0M–$279.6M after Steam's cut $189.1M–$430.1M before the cut
$14.99
450k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like
Risk of Rain (2013)
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.2M–$13.9M after Steam's cut $9.4M–$21.4M before the cut
$9.99
30k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like
Streets of Rogue
2019
Est. copies
≈ 663k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.6M–$9.8M after Steam's cut $6.6M–$15.1M before the cut
$19.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Rogue-liteAction Roguelike
Hero Siege
2014
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.8M–$15.7M after Steam's cut $10.6M–$24.1M before the cut
$7.99
47k reviews
Mixed
Action RPGPixel Graphics
PlateUp!
2022
Est. copies
≈ 670k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.2M before the cut
$19.99
27k reviews
Very Positive
Roboquest
2023
Est. copies
≈ 604k–981k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.2M after Steam's cut $7.5M–$17.2M before the cut
$24.99
24k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSAction Roguelike

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