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How many copies did Magic Axolotl sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$2k–$7k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before the cut
from 119 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Magic Axolotl out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Magic Axolotl's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 204–651
best case 19k (Mad Bullets)
Games like Magic Axolotl

The middle of these games

≈ 204–651 copies

≈ $351–$1k after Steam's cut

from ~12 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

None of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Mad Bullets at ≈ 14k–23k copies, ≈ $59k–$158k after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
The games that made it here had under 11 reviews in their first month.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Arcade (8 of 8) and Action-Adventure (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Arcade, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Action + Western + On-Rails Shooter; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2025, and 3 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Mad Bullets
2016
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
29x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$59k–$158k after Steam's cut $107k–$243k before the cut
$14.99
343 reviews
Very Positive
ActionWestern
Attack on Inirea
2025
Est. copies
≈ 521–846
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$715–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before the cut
$4.99
21 reviews
Mostly Positive
ArcadeCasual
BeachRun
2022
Est. copies
≈ 620–1k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before the cut
$24.99
25 reviews
Mixed
CasualRacing
Little Crab Fisher
2023
Est. copies
≈ 422–685
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
17 reviews
Mostly Positive
ClickerCasual
Gems And Knight
2023
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$190–$512 after Steam's cut $346–$788 before the cut
$6.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
AdventureRPG
Kitsu's Destiny
2022
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$205–$549 after Steam's cut $372–$845 before the cut
$4.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
Tools Up! Ultimate Edition
2024
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
14x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$40k–$107k after Steam's cut $72k–$165k before the cut
$34.99
167 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionCasual
Trouble in Pacifica
2024
Est. copies
≈ 174–282
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$95–$255 after Steam's cut $173–$393 before the cut
$1.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
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