Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did Bike Arena sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 248–403
$136–$365 after Steam's cut $247–$561 before the cut
from 10 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Bike Arena out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bike Arena's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 51.8M–125.2M
best case 124.1M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Bike Arena

The middle of these games

≈ 51.8M–125.2M copies

≈ $354.5M–$768.9M after Steam's cut

from ~1.3M reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Survival (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 94.5M–153.6M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Survival (4 of 8) and First-Person (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
The era
The games you compared span 2006 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 30.8M–50.0M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before the cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Rust
2018
Est. copies
≈ 42.4M–68.9M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$466.2M–$1253.5M after Steam's cut $847.6M–$1928.4M before the cut
$39.99
1.4M reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalCrafting
Garry's Mod
2006
Est. copies
≈ 79.8M–129.6M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$219.1M–$589.2M after Steam's cut $398.4M–$906.5M before the cut
$9.99
1.3M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxModdable
Grand Theft Auto V Legacy
2015
Est. copies
≈ 101.3M–164.6M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.1M reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Left 4 Dead 2
2009
Est. copies
≈ 66.7M–108.4M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$183.2M–$492.6M after Steam's cut $333.1M–$757.9M before the cut
$9.99
1.1M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesCo-op
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 94.5M–153.6M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.7M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Black Myth: Wukong
2024
Est. copies
≈ 30.0M–48.7M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$494.5M–$1329.5M after Steam's cut $899.1M–$2045.4M before the cut
$59.99
1.2M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MythologyAction RPG
Terraria
2011
Est. copies
≈ 97.9M–159.1M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$269.0M–$723.1M after Steam's cut $489.0M–$1112.5M before the cut
$9.99
1.5M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSandbox

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.