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wishvane

How many copies did Rise of the Triad sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 161k–261k
$663k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before the cut
from 3k reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Rise of the Triad out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rise of the Triad's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 631k–1.3M
best case 7.9M (ULTRAKILL)
Games like Rise of the Triad

The middle of these games

≈ 631k–1.3M copies

≈ $2.9M–$6.5M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: ULTRAKILL at ≈ 6.0M–9.7M copies, ≈ $49.4M–$132.9M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on FPS (8 of 8) and Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Boomer Shooter + Fast-Paced, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Blood + Character Action Game + Spectacle fighter; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2007 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Quake Live
2014
Est. copies
≈ 889k–1.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.1M before the cut
$9.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
FPSArena Shooter
DUSK
2018
Est. copies
≈ 774k–1.3M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.3M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.6M before the cut
$19.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Boomer ShooterFPS
Quake II
2007
Est. copies
≈ 654k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before the cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSClassic
Ion Fury
2019
Est. copies
≈ 195k–317k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before the cut
$24.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Boomer ShooterFPS
Post Void
2020
Est. copies
≈ 307k–499k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$252k–$678k after Steam's cut $459k–$1.0M before the cut
$2.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSPsychedelic
ULTRAKILL
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.0M–9.7M
15x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$49.4M–$132.9M after Steam's cut $89.9M–$204.5M before the cut
$29.99
242k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Boomer ShooterFast-Paced
Quake
2007
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before the cut
$9.99
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSClassic
DOOM + DOOM II
2007
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.5M after Steam's cut $9.1M–$20.8M before the cut
$9.99
29k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSClassic

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