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How many copies did Arcanima: Mist of Oblivion - Prologue sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before the cut
from 46 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Arcanima: Mist of Oblivion - Prologue out and predicted the genre from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including Arcanima: Mist of Oblivion - Prologue's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 102k–1.4M
best case 2.5M (Alice: Madness Returns)
Games like Arcanima: Mist of Oblivion - Prologue

The middle of these games

≈ 102k–1.4M copies

≈ $1.6M–$6.5M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

2 of your 3 similar games are hits.

From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Alice: Madness Returns at ≈ 1.9M–3.2M copies, ≈ $5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Hack and Slash (3 of 3) and Horror (3 of 3).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Female Protagonist, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2011 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Alice: Madness Returns
2011
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.2M
4.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.1M before the cut
$9.99
31k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorFemale Protagonist
The Dark Pictures Anthology: The Devil in Me
2022
Est. copies
≈ 155k–251k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before the cut
$39.99
6k reviews
Mixed
Choices MatterMultiple Endings
Saving Grace
2021
Est. copies
≈ 719–1k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$393–$1k after Steam's cut $715–$2k before the cut
$1.99
29 reviews
Positive

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