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How many copies did The Dark Pictures Anthology: The Devil in Me sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 155k–251k
$1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before the cut
from 6k reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Dark Pictures Anthology: The Devil in Me out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Dark Pictures Anthology: The Devil in Me's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 735k–1.2M
best case 21.7M (Undertale)
Games like The Dark Pictures Anthology: The Devil in Me

The middle of these games

≈ 735k–1.2M copies

≈ $4.2M–$15.0M after Steam's cut

from ~34k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Undertale at ≈ 16.5M–26.8M copies, ≈ $45.3M–$121.9M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 332 to 11k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Choices Matter (7 of 8) and Story Rich (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Choices Matter, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Great Soundtrack + RPG + Pixel Graphics; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Undertale
2015
Est. copies
≈ 16.5M–26.8M
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$45.3M–$121.9M after Steam's cut $82.4M–$187.6M before the cut
$9.99
338k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich
Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut
2023
Est. copies
≈ 837k–1.4M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.1M after Steam's cut $7.5M–$17.1M before the cut
$17.99
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelChoices Matter
The Quarry
2022
Est. copies
≈ 616k–1.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.2M–$27.3M after Steam's cut $18.5M–$42.0M before the cut
$59.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterMultiple Endings
The Coffin of Andy and Leyley
2023
Est. copies
≈ 971k–1.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before the cut
$11.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PsychologicalDark Comedy
Oxenfree
2016
Est. copies
≈ 504k–819k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before the cut
$9.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichChoices Matter
The Stanley Parable: Ultra Deluxe
2022
Est. copies
≈ 893k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.5M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.4M before the cut
$24.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
Multiple EndingsComedy
The Walking Dead: The Telltale Definitive Series
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$16.0M–$42.9M after Steam's cut $29.0M–$66.0M before the cut
$49.99
47k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich
The Test
2020
Est. copies
≈ 499k–811k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$273k–$734k after Steam's cut $497k–$1.1M before the cut
$1.99
20k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureSimulation

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.