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How many copies did MEGA MAN X DiVE Offline sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 48k–79k
$400k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $727k–$1.7M before the cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left MEGA MAN X DiVE Offline out and predicted the genre from its 5 similar games. Every figure here, including MEGA MAN X DiVE Offline's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.8M–25.3M
best case 46.9M (Geometry Dash)
Games like MEGA MAN X DiVE Offline

The middle of these games

≈ 5.8M–25.3M copies

≈ $45.1M–$90.4M after Steam's cut

from ~146k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 5 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Geometry Dash at ≈ 35.7M–58.0M copies, ≈ $49.0M–$131.7M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Platformer (3 of 5) and Metroidvania (2 of 5).
The winners
Winners here lead with Music + Level Editor, priced around $5.
The era
The games you compared span 2012 to 2018, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hollow Knight
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.2M–31.3M
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$79.3M–$213.3M after Steam's cut $144.2M–$328.1M before the cut
$14.99
559k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Geometry Dash
2014
Est. copies
≈ 35.7M–58.0M
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$49.0M–$131.7M after Steam's cut $89.1M–$202.7M before the cut
$4.99
638k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultMusic
Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.5M–$65.8M after Steam's cut $44.5M–$101.2M before the cut
$19.99
146k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Castle Crashers®
2012
Est. copies
≈ 8.9M–14.4M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$36.6M–$98.3M after Steam's cut $66.5M–$151.2M before the cut
$14.99
140k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2DOnline Co-Op
Ori and the Blind Forest: Definitive Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.3M–$43.9M after Steam's cut $29.7M–$67.6M before the cut
$19.99
71k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AtmosphericGreat Soundtrack

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