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How many copies did First Cut: Samurai Duel sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 50k–82k
$124k–$334k after Steam's cut $226k–$514k before the cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left First Cut: Samurai Duel out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including First Cut: Samurai Duel's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 66k–162k
best case 483k (Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Shredder's Revenge)
Games like First Cut: Samurai Duel

The middle of these games

≈ 66k–162k copies

≈ $633k–$1.2M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Shredder's Revenge at ≈ 368k–597k copies, ≈ $2.5M–$6.8M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 948 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 343 to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Side Scroller (7 of 8) and Beat 'em up (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Beat 'em up + Side Scroller, priced around $25.
The era
The games you compared span 2018 to 2025, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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MetroidvaniaSide Scroller
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≈ 96k–156k
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Eastern Exorcist
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≈ 168k–273k
2.2x vs typical
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Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Shredder's Revenge
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≈ 368k–597k
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$24.99
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Very Positive
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