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How many copies did Grim Dawn sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4.5M–7.4M
$31.2M–$83.9M after Steam's cut $56.8M–$129.1M before the cut
from 109k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Grim Dawn out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Grim Dawn's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.4M–6.8M
best case 20.7M (Path of Exile)
Games like Grim Dawn

The middle of these games

≈ 2.4M–6.8M copies

≈ $20.1M–$50.8M after Steam's cut

from ~97k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Path of Exile at ≈ 15.8M–25.6M copies.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 86k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 5k to 128k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Action RPG (8 of 8) and Hack and Slash (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dark Fantasy + Action RPG.
The era
The games you compared span 2012 to 2024, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Path of Exile
2013
Est. copies
≈ 15.8M–25.6M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
250k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayDark Fantasy
Titan Quest Anniversary Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$8.7M–$23.3M after Steam's cut $15.7M–$35.8M before the cut
$19.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
RPGHack and Slash
Lost Ark
2022
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.2M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
203k reviews
Mostly Positive
MMORPGFree to Play
Last Epoch
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$28.2M–$75.9M after Steam's cut $51.4M–$116.8M before the cut
$34.99
118k reviews
Mostly Positive
Action RPGLoot
Diablo® IV
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$25.5M–$68.6M after Steam's cut $46.4M–$105.5M before the cut
$49.99
75k reviews
Mixed
Action RPGHack and Slash
Torchlight II
2012
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.8M–$42.5M after Steam's cut $28.7M–$65.4M before the cut
$19.99
45k reviews
Very Positive
RPGAction RPG
Wolcen: Lords of Mayhem
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.3M–$24.9M after Steam's cut $16.8M–$38.3M before the cut
$19.99
68k reviews
Mixed
Action RPGHack and Slash
Path of Exile 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$45.9M–$123.5M after Steam's cut $83.5M–$190.0M before the cut
$29.99
225k reviews
Mostly Positive
Action RPGHack and Slash

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