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wishvane

How many copies did FEZ sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before the cut
from 16k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left FEZ out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including FEZ's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.9M–5.2M
best case 4.8M (Ori and the Will of the Wisps)
Games like FEZ

The middle of these games

≈ 3.9M–5.2M copies

≈ $27.5M–$40.3M after Steam's cut

from ~74k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Ori and the Will of the Wisps at ≈ 3.6M–5.9M copies, ≈ $29.9M–$80.3M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Platformer (6 of 8) and Dark (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Beautiful + Metroidvania, priced around $30.
The era
The games you compared span 2011 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Ori and the Blind Forest: Definitive Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.3M–$43.9M after Steam's cut $29.7M–$67.6M before the cut
$19.99
71k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AtmosphericGreat Soundtrack
Little Nightmares
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.0M–$59.2M after Steam's cut $40.1M–$91.1M before the cut
$19.99
117k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAtmospheric
Ori and the Blind Forest
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
60k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackAtmospheric
INSIDE
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.6M–$58.2M after Steam's cut $39.4M–$89.5M before the cut
$24.99
76k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2.5DPuzzle-Platformer
GRIS
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.4M after Steam's cut $21.9M–$49.9M before the cut
$14.99
96k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
BeautifulAtmospheric
LIMBO
2011
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.4M–$36.1M after Steam's cut $24.4M–$55.6M before the cut
$12.49
62k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerIndie
BattleBlock Theater®
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.8M–$45.2M after Steam's cut $30.6M–$69.6M before the cut
$14.99
73k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Ori and the Will of the Wisps
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.9M–$80.3M after Steam's cut $54.3M–$123.5M before the cut
$29.99
146k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
BeautifulMetroidvania

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