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How many copies did September 7th sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 75k–122k
$144k–$388k after Steam's cut $262k–$596k before the cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left September 7th out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including September 7th's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–3.1M
best case 5.4M (Firewatch)
Games like September 7th

The middle of these games

≈ 1.4M–3.1M copies

≈ $11.6M–$35.2M after Steam's cut

from ~45k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Firewatch at ≈ 4.1M–6.7M copies, ≈ $22.7M–$61.1M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2k to 11k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Story Rich (6 of 8) and First-Person (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Walking Simulator, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Mouthwashing
2024
Est. copies
≈ 952k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.2M–$14.1M before the cut
$12.99
38k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
The Stanley Parable: Ultra Deluxe
2022
Est. copies
≈ 893k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.5M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.4M before the cut
$24.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
Multiple EndingsComedy
SOMA
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.1M–$56.7M after Steam's cut $38.4M–$87.3M before the cut
$29.99
52k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Amnesia: The Dark Descent
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.4M–$33.3M after Steam's cut $22.5M–$51.2M before the cut
$19.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorGore
DEATH STRANDING DIRECTOR'S CUT
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.4M–$49.5M after Steam's cut $33.4M–$76.1M before the cut
$39.99
67k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichOpen World
Layers of Fear (2016)
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.3M–$17.0M after Steam's cut $11.5M–$26.2M before the cut
$19.99
28k reviews
Very Positive
What Remains of Edith Finch
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.0M–$26.8M after Steam's cut $18.1M–$41.2M before the cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichAtmospheric
Firewatch
2016
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.7M–$61.1M after Steam's cut $41.3M–$93.9M before the cut
$19.99
99k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAtmospheric

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