Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did The Stanley Parable: Ultra Deluxe sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 893k–1.5M
$6.1M–$16.5M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.4M before the cut
from 36k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Stanley Parable: Ultra Deluxe out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Stanley Parable: Ultra Deluxe's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–2.9M
best case 21.7M (Undertale)
Games like The Stanley Parable: Ultra Deluxe

The middle of these games

≈ 1.2M–2.9M copies

≈ $7.7M–$17.0M after Steam's cut

from ~46k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Choices Matter (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Undertale at ≈ 16.5M–26.8M copies, ≈ $45.3M–$121.9M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2k to 27k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Choices Matter (4 of 8) and First-Person (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Choices Matter, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Pixel Graphics + RPG + Great Soundtrack; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Everlasting Summer
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
78k reviews
Very Positive
Love Is All Around
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before the cut
$9.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
Dating SimSexual Content
Senren*Banka
2020
Est. copies
≈ 915k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$8.8M–$23.7M after Steam's cut $16.0M–$36.4M before the cut
$34.99
37k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
The Henry Stickmin Collection
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.3M after Steam's cut $11.0M–$25.1M before the cut
$14.99
59k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FunnyMultiple Endings
Undertale
2015
Est. copies
≈ 16.5M–26.8M
7.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$45.3M–$121.9M after Steam's cut $82.4M–$187.6M before the cut
$9.99
338k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich
Tropico 6
2019
Est. copies
≈ 848k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.3M–$25.1M after Steam's cut $17.0M–$38.6M before the cut
$39.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
City BuilderStrategy
The Stanley Parable
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$11.9M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.3M before the cut
$14.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
ComedyNarration
Road 96 🛣️
2021
Est. copies
≈ 646k–1.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.5M–$9.5M after Steam's cut $6.4M–$14.7M before the cut
$19.96
26k reviews
Very Positive
First-PersonColorful

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.