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How many copies did Arms Race 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 322–524
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before the cut
from 13 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Arms Race 2 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Arms Race 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 98–196
best case 6.1M (Crusader Kings II)
Games like Arms Race 2

The middle of these games

≈ 98–196 copies

≈ $302–$755 after Steam's cut

from ~5 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

1 of your 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Crusader Kings II at ≈ 4.7M–7.6M copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
The games that made it here had under 44 reviews in their first month.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Grand Strategy (8 of 8) and Political Sim (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Grand Strategy + Political Sim, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry War + Historical; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Asia Empire 2027
2022
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$110–$294 after Steam's cut $200–$453 before the cut
$7.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
SimulationStrategy
Middle East Empire 2027
2022
Est. copies
≈ 198–322
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$435–$1k after Steam's cut $791–$2k before the cut
$7.99
8 reviews
8 user reviews
SimulationStrategy
World Empire 2027
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
17x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$12k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$48k before the cut
$19.99
85 reviews
Mostly Positive
WarStrategy
Crusader Kings II
2012
Est. copies
≈ 4.7M–7.6M
14780x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
74k reviews
Very Positive
Grand StrategyStrategy
Deus Lo Veult
2021
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$409–$1k after Steam's cut $744–$2k before the cut
$9.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
SimulationStrategy
Africa Empire 2027
2022
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$272–$735 after Steam's cut $495–$1k before the cut
$7.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
SimulationStrategy
Latin America Empire 2027
2022
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$163–$440 after Steam's cut $296–$677 before the cut
$7.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
SimulationStrategy
逐鹿问鼎:君王成长计划/Strive For Power:King Growth Program
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
16x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
82 reviews
Mixed
Grand StrategyHistorical

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