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How many copies did Downward Spear sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 298–484
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before the cut
from 12 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Downward Spear out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Downward Spear's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–12k
best case 118k (Dwarven Realms)
Games like Downward Spear

The middle of these games

≈ 2k–12k copies

≈ $8k–$123k after Steam's cut

from ~78 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

1 of your 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Dwarven Realms at ≈ 90k–146k copies, ≈ $248k–$665k after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 43 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 4 to 2k.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Action RPG (8 of 8) and Hack and Slash (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action RPG + Hack and Slash, priced around $10.
The era
5 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Rise of a Legend
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$24k before the cut
$17.99
48 reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessAction
Magicians And Monsters
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before the cut
$5.99
72 reviews
Mixed
ActionRPG
Bioweaver
2024
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
8.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$33k–$89k after Steam's cut $60k–$136k before the cut
$6.99
691 reviews
Mostly Positive
ProgrammingTactical RPG
Mounted War
2024
Est. copies
≈ 322–524
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$265–$713 after Steam's cut $481–$1k before the cut
$2.99
13 reviews
Mixed
ActionMedieval
Heroes of Eldemor
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
84 reviews
Mostly Positive
MultiplayerMedieval
FAIRY TAIL 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$100k–$270k after Steam's cut $182k–$415k before the cut
$59.99
245 reviews
Mixed
Spectacle fighterTactical RPG
AbsentedAge: Squarebound
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before the cut
$12.99
67 reviews
Very Positive
Rogue-likeAction RPG
Dwarven Realms
2024
Est. copies
≈ 90k–146k
47x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$248k–$665k after Steam's cut $450k–$1.0M before the cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Action RPGHack and Slash

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.