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How big is Paddle Flap?

Estimated owners
≈ 273–443
from 11 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Paddle Flap out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Paddle Flap's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–40k
best case 245k (Pinball FX Classic)
Games like Paddle Flap

The middle of these games

≈ 2k–40k copies

≈ $20k–$132k after Steam's cut

from ~303 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

2 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Pinball FX Classic at ≈ 187k–304k copies.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 21 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 8 to 102.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Pinball (8 of 8) and Arcade (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Pinball + Simulation.
The era
The games you compared span 2011 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Pinball FX Classic VR
2016
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$70k–$188k after Steam's cut $127k–$289k before the cut
$14.99
408 reviews
Very Positive
PinballVR
Pinball FX Classic
2017
Est. copies
≈ 187k–304k
18x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Very Positive
PinballFree to Play
Worms Pinball
2011
Est. copies
≈ 33k–53k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$72k–$194k after Steam's cut $131k–$299k before the cut
$7.99
520 reviews
Mixed
PinballCasual
Roxy Raccoon's Pinball Panic
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
65 reviews
Very Positive
PinballSimulation
Super High Ball: Pinball Platformer
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before the cut
$9.99
43 reviews
Positive
Star Wars™ Pinball VR
2021
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$34k–$90k after Steam's cut $61k–$139k before the cut
$24.99
197 reviews
Mixed
SimulationPinball
DEMON'S TILT
2019
Est. copies
≈ 29k–47k
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$160k–$431k after Steam's cut $292k–$663k before the cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
PinballIndie
Slot Shots Pinball Collection
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before the cut
$9.99
48 reviews
Positive
CasualPinball

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