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How many copies did Far Cry 3 - Blood Dragon sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before the cut
from 20k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Far Cry 3 - Blood Dragon out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Far Cry 3 - Blood Dragon's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5k–28k
best case 1.5M (Hello Neighbor)
Games like Far Cry 3 - Blood Dragon

The middle of these games

≈ 5k–28k copies

≈ $6k–$138k after Steam's cut

from ~730 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

2 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Hello Neighbor at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $9.2M–$24.8M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 254 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 39 to 288.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on FPS (6 of 8) and First-Person (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Sandbox, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Story Rich + Action-Adventure + Survival Horror; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2025, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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45x vs typical
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Time ManagementPolitics

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