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How many copies did HITMAN™ sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
from 37k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left HITMAN™ out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including HITMAN™'s, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.4M–7.2M
best case 13.4M (Sekiro™: Shadows Die Twice - GOTY Edition)
Games like HITMAN™

The middle of these games

≈ 4.4M–7.2M copies

≈ $43.4M–$119.1M after Steam's cut

from ~88k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Sekiro™: Shadows Die Twice - GOTY Edition at ≈ 10.2M–16.6M copies, ≈ $168.6M–$453.2M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Stealth (7 of 8) and Assassin (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Souls-like + Ninja, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Souls-like + Difficult + Ninja; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2012 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Assassin's Creed® Origins
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$72.9M–$196.0M after Steam's cut $132.6M–$301.6M before the cut
$59.99
128k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAssassin
HITMAN™ 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
75k reviews
Very Positive
StealthAssassin
Sekiro™: Shadows Die Twice - GOTY Edition
2019
Est. copies
≈ 10.2M–16.6M
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$168.6M–$453.2M after Steam's cut $306.5M–$697.3M before the cut
$59.99
355k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Souls-likeDifficult
Assassin's Creed® Odyssey
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.3M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$94.2M–$253.2M after Steam's cut $171.3M–$389.6M before the cut
$59.99
188k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG
Middle-earth™: Shadow of Mordor™
2014
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$29.8M–$80.2M after Steam's cut $54.2M–$123.4M before the cut
$19.99
97k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Assassin’s Creed® IV Black Flag™
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$21.4M–$57.6M after Steam's cut $38.9M–$88.6M before the cut
$39.99
79k reviews
Very Positive
PiratesOpen World
Assassin's Creed® Unity
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.8M–7.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$39.5M–$106.1M after Steam's cut $71.8M–$163.2M before the cut
$29.99
85k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldParkour
Dishonored
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.3M–$41.1M after Steam's cut $27.8M–$63.3M before the cut
$9.99
88k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StealthFirst-Person

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