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How big is Octodad (Student Edition)?

Estimated owners
≈ 4k–6k
from 146 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Octodad (Student Edition) out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Octodad (Student Edition)'s, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 814–45k
best case 164k (Hello Neighbor Alpha 1)
Games like Octodad (Student Edition)

The middle of these games

≈ 814–45k copies

≈ $75k–$338k after Steam's cut

from ~508 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

2 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Hello Neighbor Alpha 1 at ≈ 125k–204k copies.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 3 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1 to 2k.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on 3D Platformer (7 of 8) and Exploration (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Survival Horror.
The era
The games you compared span 2019 to 2025, and 3 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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1.8x vs typical
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ExplorationTactical RPG
Hello Neighbor Alpha 1
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