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wishvane

How many copies did Watch_Dogs™ sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
$16.1M–$43.4M after Steam's cut $29.4M–$66.8M before the cut
from 52k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Watch_Dogs™ out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Watch_Dogs™'s, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.1M–56.7M
best case 132.9M (Grand Theft Auto V Legacy)
Games like Watch_Dogs™

The middle of these games

≈ 3.1M–56.7M copies

≈ $58.1M–$601.1M after Steam's cut

from ~101k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

5 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Grand Theft Auto V Legacy at ≈ 101.3M–164.6M copies.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 25 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2 to 2k.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (8 of 8) and Hacking (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Crime.
The era
The games you compared span 2011 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Watch Dogs®: Legion
2023
Est. copies
≈ 310k–504k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.7M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before the cut
$59.99
12k reviews
Mixed
ActionOpen World
APB Reloaded
2011
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
38k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayOpen World
Grand Theft Auto V Legacy
2015
Est. copies
≈ 101.3M–164.6M
20x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.1M reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition
2015
Est. copies
≈ 43.2M–70.2M
8.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$593.9M–$1596.9M after Steam's cut $1079.9M–$2456.7M before the cut
$49.99
885k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
Watch_Dogs® 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 4.2M–6.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$57.9M–$155.7M after Steam's cut $105.3M–$239.5M before the cut
$49.99
101k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldHacking
Lilith Odyssey
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$9k–$24k after Steam's cut $16k–$37k before the cut
$19.99
65 reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalAdventure
Beyond the Fringe
2024
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$138–$368 after Steam's cut $250–$566 before the cut
$9.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
SingleplayerExploration
The Alpha 001
2021
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$81–$219 after Steam's cut $148–$337 before the cut
$2.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
SandboxAdventure

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