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How many copies did Panpu-ja sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 74–121
$18–$49 after Steam's cut $33–$76 before the cut
from 3 reviews (3 user reviews)
Thin evidence: 3 reviews. That range swings on one or two people, so read it as a hint, not a measurement.

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Panpu-ja out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Panpu-ja's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4k–10k
best case 23k (Paper Bride 5 Two Lifetimes)
Games like Panpu-ja

The middle of these games

≈ 4k–10k copies

≈ $12k–$31k after Steam's cut

from ~183 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

None of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Paper Bride 5 Two Lifetimes at ≈ 18k–28k copies, ≈ $48k–$130k after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 51 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 14 to 300.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Visual Novel (7 of 8) and Word Game (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dating Sim + Word Game, priced around $10.
The era
Only 2 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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2020
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SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$777–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before the cut
$0.99
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Very Positive
CyberpunkText-Based
Lingua Fleur: Lily
2019
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RelaxingVisual Novel
筮灵 SHILING
2024
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1.6x vs typical
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286 reviews
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Vain Riser
2021
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≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$9k–$23k after Steam's cut $16k–$36k before the cut
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AnimeVisual Novel
Paper Bride 5 Two Lifetimes
2023
Est. copies
≈ 18k–28k
3.9x vs typical
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$48k–$130k after Steam's cut $88k–$199k before the cut
$9.99
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CasualAdventure
Dark Notes
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Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
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孟德大小姐与自爆少年THREE KINGDOM FANTASY
2023
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≈ 10k–16k
2.1x vs typical
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$7.99
386 reviews
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HistoricalVisual Novel
舔狗模拟器
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≈ 3k–5k
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$4.99
118 reviews
Mixed
RPGCasual

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