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How many copies did Vain Riser sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$9k–$23k after Steam's cut $16k–$36k before the cut
from 98 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Vain Riser out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Vain Riser's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–4.8M
best case 10.2M (Doki Doki Literature Club!)
Games like Vain Riser

The middle of these games

≈ 1.2M–4.8M copies

≈ $6.4M–$39.5M after Steam's cut

from ~61k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Doki Doki Literature Club! at ≈ 7.8M–12.7M copies.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2k to 14k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Dating Sim (7 of 8) and Anime (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Visual Novel.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2024, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Doki Doki Literature Club Plus!
2021
Est. copies
≈ 798k–1.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before the cut
$14.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Senren*Banka
2020
Est. copies
≈ 915k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$8.8M–$23.7M after Steam's cut $16.0M–$36.4M before the cut
$34.99
37k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Doki Doki Literature Club!
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.8M–12.7M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
227k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.9M before the cut
$9.99
60k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelHistorical
LoveChoice
2021
Est. copies
≈ 908k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$497k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $903k–$2.1M before the cut
$1.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
RomanceDating Sim
Persona 5 Royal
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.6M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$56.7M–$152.4M after Steam's cut $103.0M–$234.4M before the cut
$59.99
139k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Persona 3 Reload
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$25.6M–$68.8M after Steam's cut $46.5M–$105.9M before the cut
$59.99
63k reviews
Very Positive
JRPGRPG
Everlasting Summer
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
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78k reviews
Very Positive

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