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How many copies did Causal Effect sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 25–40
$28–$73 after Steam's cut $50–$112 before the cut
from 1 reviews (1 user reviews)
Thin evidence: 1 review. That range swings on one or two people, so read it as a hint, not a measurement.

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Causal Effect out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Causal Effect's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 197k–327k
best case 356k (The Case of the Golden Idol)
Games like Causal Effect

The middle of these games

≈ 197k–327k copies

≈ $886k–$2.0M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: The Case of the Golden Idol at ≈ 271k–440k copies, ≈ $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 953 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Mystery (7 of 8) and Puzzle (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mystery + Detective, priced around $18.
The era
5 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Case of the Golden Idol
2022
Est. copies
≈ 271k–440k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before the cut
$17.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MysteryDetective
The Rise of the Golden Idol
2024
Est. copies
≈ 102k–166k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$562k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before the cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
MysteryInvestigation
Duck Detective: The Secret Salami
2024
Est. copies
≈ 166k–270k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$456k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $829k–$1.9M before the cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveInvestigation
No Case Should Remain Unsolved
2024
Est. copies
≈ 263k–427k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$505k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $918k–$2.1M before the cut
$6.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Interactive FictionPuzzle
The Operator
2024
Est. copies
≈ 219k–355k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$842k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before the cut
$13.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveInvestigation
The Roottrees are Dead
2025
Est. copies
≈ 244k–397k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.6M before the cut
$19.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MysteryPuzzle
Puzzle Agent
2010
Est. copies
≈ 179k–291k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$246k–$662k after Steam's cut $448k–$1.0M before the cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleAdventure
A Normal Lost Phone
2017
Est. copies
≈ 101k–165k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Very Positive
IndieLGBTQ+

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