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wishvane

How many copies did The Rise of the Golden Idol sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 102k–166k
$562k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before the cut
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Rise of the Golden Idol out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Rise of the Golden Idol's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 672k–1.1M
best case 27.3M (Phasmophobia)
Games like The Rise of the Golden Idol

The middle of these games

≈ 672k–1.1M copies

≈ $3.0M–$6.9M after Steam's cut

from ~24k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Phasmophobia at ≈ 20.8M–33.8M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$307.1M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 946 to 40k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Story Rich (5 of 8) and Detective (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Psychological Horror, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Supernatural + VR + Online Co-Op; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2011 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Unheard - Voices of Crime
2019
Est. copies
≈ 976k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.0M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.8M before the cut
$6.99
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectivePuzzle
Sanfu
2023
Est. copies
≈ 442k–719k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before the cut
$10.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
MysteryRPG
Phasmophobia
2020
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.8M
35x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$114.2M–$307.1M after Steam's cut $207.7M–$472.5M before the cut
$19.99
838k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Demonologist
2023
Est. copies
≈ 598k–971k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before the cut
$19.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorMultiplayer
The Test
2020
Est. copies
≈ 499k–811k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$273k–$734k after Steam's cut $497k–$1.1M before the cut
$1.99
20k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureSimulation
Heavy Rain
2020
Est. copies
≈ 768k–1.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before the cut
$19.99
31k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich
L.A. Noire
2011
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.8M–$34.4M after Steam's cut $23.2M–$52.9M before the cut
$19.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveCrime
Murders on the Yangtze River
2024
Est. copies
≈ 525k–853k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.8M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.9M before the cut
$14.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveAdventure

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