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How big is The Plan?

Estimated owners
≈ 1.3M–2.2M
from 24k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Plan out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Plan's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.2M–17.7M
best case 40.4M (Wallpaper Engine)
Games like The Plan

The middle of these games

≈ 7.2M–17.7M copies

≈ $65.2M–$129.9M after Steam's cut

from ~244k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Survival (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 30.8M–50.0M copies, ≈ $42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Survival (4 of 8) and Base-Building (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $5.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 30.8M–50.0M
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before the cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Unturned
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.4M–31.6M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
565k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlaySurvival
SCP: Secret Laboratory
2017
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–13.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
234k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer
RimWorld
2018
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$71.8M–$193.1M after Steam's cut $130.6M–$297.1M before the cut
$34.99
246k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Colony SimBase-Building
ASTRONEER
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$33.0M–$88.8M after Steam's cut $60.1M–$136.6M before the cut
$29.99
139k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerOpen World
Squad
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.0M–9.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$66.2M–$178.0M after Steam's cut $120.4M–$273.9M before the cut
$39.99
243k reviews
Very Positive
MilitaryRealistic
Subnautica
2018
Est. copies
≈ 11.5M–18.7M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$95.0M–$255.4M after Steam's cut $172.7M–$393.0M before the cut
$29.99
379k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Black Mesa
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$19.7M–$53.0M after Steam's cut $35.8M–$81.5M before the cut
$19.99
145k reviews
Very Positive
FPSRemake

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.