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How many copies did LIZARDS MUST DIE sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 656k–1.1M
$720k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before the cut
from 26k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left LIZARDS MUST DIE out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including LIZARDS MUST DIE's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–277k
best case 1.8M (Nioh: Complete Edition)
Games like LIZARDS MUST DIE

The middle of these games

≈ 2k–277k copies

≈ $635–$6.9M after Steam's cut

from ~231 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

3 of your 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Action RPG (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Nioh: Complete Edition at ≈ 1.3M–2.2M copies, ≈ $18.4M–$49.4M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 28 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2 to 15k.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Action RPG (4 of 8) and Hack and Slash (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Souls-like + Hack and Slash, priced around $50.
The era
5 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Est. copies
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5.9x vs typical
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Early AccessOpen World
Nioh: Complete Edition
2017
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≈ 1.3M–2.2M
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Souls-likeAction
ANCIENT RUS VS LIZARDS
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lizards vs Slavs : Arena
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ActionDifficult
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Firelight Fantasy: Phoenix Crew
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Elder Legacy: Survival
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