How much revenue did The Vanishing of Ethan Carter make?

An estimated 2.6M to 6.9M net after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Vanishing of Ethan Carter sell?

Q: How many copies did The Vanishing of Ethan Carter sell?

An estimated 466k to 758k copies, based on its 9k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 466k–758k; $2.6M–$6.9M net $4.7M–$10.6M gross; from 9k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Vanishing of Ethan Carter out and predicted the genre from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including The Vanishing of Ethan Carter's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 198k–3.0M

best case 5.2M (Firewatch)

The Adventure lane

A big, proven genre: most sell around 1.3M copies. From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

A typical game

≈ 1.3M copies

≈ $9.8M after Steam's cut

from ~29k reviews

Best case

≈ 5.2M copies

Firewatch · ≈ $39.8M after Steam's cut

from 98k reviews

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count; typical figures are medians per column, so they can come from different games.

The lane you'd be entering

Winners here lead with Adventure + Atmospheric, priced around $20.
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
A typical game here lands in Diamond ($1M+ before Steam's cut, est.). Tiers: Chris Zukowski's benchmark tiers.

Similar games

Game	Price	Reviews	Tags	Est. copies	Est. revenue
Draugen 2019	Est. copies ≈ 61k–100k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $337k–$907k net $613k–$1.4M gross	$19.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	Story RichMystery +6
The Suicide of Rachel Foster 2020	Est. copies ≈ 181k–293k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $893k–$2.4M net $1.6M–$3.7M gross	$17.99	7k reviews Mixed	Walking SimulatorMystery +6
What Remains of Edith Finch 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–2.9M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $9.7M–$26.2M net $17.7M–$40.3M gross	$19.99	51k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichAtmospheric +6
Firewatch 2016	Est. copies ≈ 3.9M–6.4M 3.4x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.6M–$58.1M net $39.3M–$89.4M gross	$19.99	98k reviews Very Positive	AdventureAtmospheric +6