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How many copies did Draugen sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 62k–100k
$339k–$911k after Steam's cut $616k–$1.4M before the cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Draugen out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Draugen's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–2.3M
best case 3.5M (Outer Wilds)
Games like Draugen

The middle of these games

≈ 1.4M–2.3M copies

≈ $6.3M–$12.8M after Steam's cut

from ~35k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Outer Wilds at ≈ 2.6M–4.3M copies, ≈ $18.2M–$48.9M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Story Rich (6 of 8) and Mystery (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Exploration + Mystery, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Exploration + Adventure + Walking Simulator; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Outer Wilds
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.2M–$48.9M after Steam's cut $33.1M–$75.3M before the cut
$24.99
107k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationSpace
Return of the Obra Dinn
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$15.7M after Steam's cut $10.6M–$24.2M before the cut
$19.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveMystery
Firewatch
2016
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.7M–$61.1M after Steam's cut $41.3M–$93.9M before the cut
$19.99
99k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAtmospheric
Bendy and the Ink Machine
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.0M–$18.7M after Steam's cut $12.7M–$28.8M before the cut
$19.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorFirst-Person
What Remains of Edith Finch
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.0M–$26.8M after Steam's cut $18.1M–$41.2M before the cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichAtmospheric
The Room
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.1M before the cut
$4.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleMystery
The Talos Principle
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.3M–$41.0M after Steam's cut $27.7M–$63.1M before the cut
$29.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePhilosophical
Mouthwashing
2024
Est. copies
≈ 952k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.2M–$14.1M before the cut
$12.99
38k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive

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