How much revenue did Probably Archery make?

$18k–$49k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Probably Archery sell?

Q: How many copies did Probably Archery sell?

22k to 36k copies, based on its 397 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 22k–36k; $18k–$49k after Steam's cut $33k–$76k before the cut; from 397 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Probably Archery out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Probably Archery's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–3k

best case 38k (Holopoint)

Games like Probably Archery

The middle of these games

≈ 2k–3k copies

≈ $8k–$14k after Steam's cut

from ~69 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

None of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Holopoint at ≈ 29k–47k copies, ≈ $88k–$237k after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 31 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 24 to 41.

Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Sports (8 of 8) and Archery (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Sports + Archery, priced around $6. The breakout hits carry Archery + Side Scroller + Bullet Hell; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: The games you compared span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Cricket Through the Ages 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $4k–$11k after Steam's cut $8k–$17k before the cut	$7.99	76 reviews Very Positive	ActionCasual
Holopoint 2016	Est. copies ≈ 29k–47k 10x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $88k–$237k after Steam's cut $160k–$365k before the cut	$10.99	701 reviews Very Positive	SportsVR
VR SUPER SPORTS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4k–7k 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $15k–$40k after Steam's cut $27k–$62k before the cut	$12.99	122 reviews Mixed	SportsAction
Nock 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $8k–$21k after Steam's cut $14k–$32k before the cut	$19.99	57 reviews Very Positive	Arena ShooterSports
Super Space Pug 2016	Est. copies ≈ 13k–22k 4.7x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $7k–$20k after Steam's cut $13k–$30k before the cut	$1.99	323 reviews Mixed	Side ScrollerBullet Hell
Go Kart Run! 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue Free	Free	114 reviews Mixed	RacingFree to Play
Sky Sanctuary 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before the cut	$2.99	50 reviews Very Positive	ActionSports
Presentiment of Death 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $6k–$17k after Steam's cut $12k–$26k before the cut	$14.99	62 reviews Mostly Positive	ActionSports