How much revenue did Metaphor: ReFantazio make?

$20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Metaphor: ReFantazio sell?

Q: How many copies did Metaphor: ReFantazio sell?

1.1M to 1.7M copies, based on its 43k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.1M–1.7M; $20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut $37.2M–$84.6M before the cut; from 43k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Metaphor: ReFantazio out and predicted the genre from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Metaphor: ReFantazio's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.6M–5.6M

best case 9.0M (Clair Obscur: Expedition 33)

Games like Metaphor: ReFantazio

The middle of these games

≈ 2.6M–5.6M copies

≈ $40.9M–$121.8M after Steam's cut

from ~113k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of your similar games are hits.

From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 at ≈ 6.9M–11.1M copies, ≈ $94.2M–$253.3M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 16k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 11k to 92k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on JRPG (4 of 4) and Story Rich (4 of 4).
The winners: Winners here lead with Turn-Based Combat + Story Rich, priced around $50.
The era: 2 of your 4 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this niche is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Persona 3 Reload 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $25.6M–$68.8M after Steam's cut $46.5M–$105.9M before the cut	$59.99	63k reviews Very Positive	JRPGRPG
Persona 4 Golden 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $11.9M–$31.9M after Steam's cut $21.6M–$49.1M before the cut	$19.99	87k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	JRPGGreat Soundtrack
Persona 5 Royal 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.4M–5.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $56.7M–$152.4M after Steam's cut $103.0M–$234.4M before the cut	$59.99	139k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	JRPG Story Rich
Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 2025	Est. copies ≈ 6.9M–11.1M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $94.2M–$253.3M after Steam's cut $171.3M–$389.6M before the cut	$49.99	276k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Turn-Based CombatStory Rich