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How many copies did Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6.9M–11.1M
$94.2M–$253.3M after Steam's cut $171.3M–$389.6M before the cut
from 276k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Clair Obscur: Expedition 33's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–1.6M
best case 27.8M (Baldur's Gate 3)
Games like Clair Obscur: Expedition 33

The middle of these games

≈ 1.4M–1.6M copies

≈ $11.1M–$22.2M after Steam's cut

from ~44k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Baldur's Gate 3 at ≈ 21.2M–34.4M copies, ≈ $349.3M–$939.1M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 15k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 9k to 268k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Turn-Based Combat (6 of 8) and Story Rich (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Character Customization + Choices Matter, priced around $45. The breakout hits carry Character Customization + CRPG + Fantasy; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Baldur's Gate 3
2023
Est. copies
≈ 21.2M–34.4M
20x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$349.3M–$939.1M after Steam's cut $635.1M–$1444.8M before the cut
$59.99
854k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGCharacter Customization
For The King
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$7.3M–$19.6M after Steam's cut $13.3M–$30.2M before the cut
$19.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
RPGOnline Co-Op
Pathfinder: Wrath of the Righteous - Enhanced Edition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.0M–$16.1M after Steam's cut $10.9M–$24.8M before the cut
$19.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
SingleplayerAction RPG
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.1M–11.5M
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$87.4M–$235.0M after Steam's cut $158.9M–$361.6M before the cut
$44.99
205k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tactical RPGRPG
Temtem
2022
Est. copies
≈ 975k–1.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.4M after Steam's cut $21.9M–$49.9M before the cut
$44.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opMultiplayer
Darkest Dungeon®
2016
Est. copies
≈ 6.7M–10.9M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.2M–$124.2M after Steam's cut $84.0M–$191.0M before the cut
$24.99
162k reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based CombatDark Fantasy
Metaphor: ReFantazio
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut $37.2M–$84.6M before the cut
$69.99
43k reviews
Very Positive
RPGJRPG
Volcano Princess
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.2M before the cut
$10.99
49k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Life SimMultiple Endings

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