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wishvane

How many copies did Tumblestone sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 83k–134k
$568k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before the cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Tumblestone out and predicted the genre from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Tumblestone's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 37.7M–109.5M
best case 124.1M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Tumblestone

The middle of these games

≈ 37.7M–109.5M copies

≈ $67.6M–$241.0M after Steam's cut

from ~1.1M reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of your similar games are hits.

From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is First-Person (2 of 4), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 94.5M–153.6M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on First-Person (2 of 4) and Survival (2 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
The era
The games you compared span 2006 to 2018, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 94.5M–153.6M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.7M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Garry's Mod
2006
Est. copies
≈ 79.8M–129.6M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$219.1M–$589.2M after Steam's cut $398.4M–$906.5M before the cut
$9.99
1.3M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxModdable
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 30.8M–50.0M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before the cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Among Us
2018
Est. copies
≈ 22.7M–36.8M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$31.1M–$83.6M after Steam's cut $56.5M–$128.6M before the cut
$4.99
745k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerSocial Deduction

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.