wishvane
How many copies did Heavy Rain sell?
Estimated copies sold
≈ 776k–1.3M
$4.3M–$11.5M net $7.8M–$17.6M gross
from 29k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Heavy Rain out and predicted the genre from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including Heavy Rain's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.1M–30.4M
best case 53.4M (The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt)
The Open World lane

A big, proven genre: most sell around 7.4M copies. From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

A typical game
≈ 7.4M copies
≈ $171.2M after Steam's cut
from ~216k reviews
Best case
≈ 53.4M copies
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt · ≈ $824.5M after Steam's cut
from 876k reviews

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count; typical figures are medians per column, so they can come from different games.

The lane you'd be entering
  • Winners here lead with Open World + RPG, priced around $40.
  • The games you compared span 2015 to 2022, a lane with a long track record.
  • A typical game here lands in Diamond ($1M+ before Steam's cut, est.). Tiers: Chris Zukowski's benchmark tiers.

Similar games

2022
Est. copies
≈ 5.2M–8.4M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$85.6M–$230.2M net $155.7M–$354.2M gross
$59.99
216k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldCo-op +6
2015
Est. copies
≈ 40.7M–66.1M
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$447.1M–$1202.0M net $812.9M–$1849.2M gross
$39.99
876k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG +6
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$92.8M–$249.5M net $168.7M–$383.9M gross
$59.99
185k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG +6

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Copies and revenue are rough estimates from public review counts, not exact sales. Data from Steam and SteamSpy. About · Privacy · Examples