How much revenue did Heavy Rain make?

$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Heavy Rain sell?

Q: How many copies did Heavy Rain sell?

768k to 1.2M copies, based on its 31k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 768k–1.2M; $4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before the cut; from 31k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Heavy Rain out and predicted the genre from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including Heavy Rain's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.3M–32.1M

best case 56.7M (The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition)

Games like Heavy Rain

The middle of these games

≈ 7.3M–32.1M copies

≈ $169.4M–$634.6M after Steam's cut

from ~219k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of your similar games are hits.

From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition at ≈ 43.2M–70.2M copies, ≈ $593.9M–$1596.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Open World (3 of 3) and Assassin (1 of 3).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Story Rich, priced around $50.
The era: The games you compared span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition 2022	Est. copies ≈ 5.4M–8.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $89.6M–$240.8M after Steam's cut $162.8M–$370.5M before the cut	$59.99	219k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldCo-op
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition 2015	Est. copies ≈ 43.2M–70.2M 4.0x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $593.9M–$1596.9M after Steam's cut $1079.9M–$2456.7M before the cut	$49.99	885k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open WorldRPG
Assassin's Creed® Odyssey 2018	Est. copies ≈ 5.7M–9.3M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $94.2M–$253.2M after Steam's cut $171.3M–$389.6M before the cut	$59.99	188k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldRPG