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How many copies did On Rusty Trails sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 11k–18k
$46k–$123k after Steam's cut $83k–$189k before the cut
from 266 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left On Rusty Trails out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including On Rusty Trails's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 14k–16k
best case 5.8M (Celeste)
Games like On Rusty Trails

The middle of these games

≈ 14k–16k copies

≈ $58k–$110k after Steam's cut

from ~442 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

3 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Celeste at ≈ 4.4M–7.2M copies, ≈ $24.5M–$65.8M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 277 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 237 to 399.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Platformer (8 of 8) and Precision Platformer (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Platformer, priced around $15.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SEUM: Speedrunners from Hell
2016
Est. copies
≈ 127k–207k
6.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$525k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $954k–$2.2M before the cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
3D PlatformerParkour
Lumione
2021
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$39k–$104k after Steam's cut $70k–$160k before the cut
$11.99
473 reviews
Mostly Positive
Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
331x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.5M–$65.8M after Steam's cut $44.5M–$101.2M before the cut
$19.99
146k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Ball at Work: The Ultimate Speedrun Platformer!
2020
Est. copies
≈ 10k–17k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
420 reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPrecision Platformer
Rolled Out!
2021
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$60k–$162k after Steam's cut $110k–$249k before the cut
$19.99
442 reviews
Very Positive
Leap Year
2024
Est. copies
≈ 79k–129k
7.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$109k–$293k after Steam's cut $198k–$450k before the cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationPrecision Platformer
1 Screen Platformer
2019
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$10k–$27k after Steam's cut $18k–$42k before the cut
$2.99
428 reviews
Very Positive
Knytt Underground
2013
Est. copies
≈ 31k–50k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$59k–$159k after Steam's cut $108k–$245k before the cut
$6.99
488 reviews
Very Positive

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