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How many copies did Liar's Bar sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
$2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.1M before the cut
from 56k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Liar's Bar out and predicted the genre from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including Liar's Bar's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–3.2M
best case 4.1M (Buckshot Roulette)
Games like Liar's Bar

The middle of these games

≈ 1.4M–3.2M copies

≈ $21.2M–$43.9M after Steam's cut

from ~44k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 7 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Buckshot Roulette at ≈ 3.1M–5.0M copies, ≈ $2.5M–$6.8M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2k to 16k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Sports (4 of 7) and Basketball (3 of 7).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dark + Gambling, priced around $3.
The era
The games you compared span 2010 to 2024, and 2 of your 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Buckshot Roulette
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.0M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.8M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.5M before the cut
$2.99
125k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerDark
Poker Night at the Inventory (2010 Original Version)
2010
Est. copies
≈ 612k–995k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
10k reviews
Very Positive
Card GameCasual
NBA 2K24
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
44k reviews
Mostly Negative
SportsBasketball
NBA 2K22
2021
Est. copies
≈ 964k–1.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
39k reviews
Mixed
SportsBasketball
STAR WARS™ Battlefront™ II
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.2M–$73.0M after Steam's cut $49.4M–$112.3M before the cut
$39.99
100k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerShooter
NBA 2K25
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut $37.2M–$84.7M before the cut
$69.99
43k reviews
Mixed
SportsBasketball
Judgment
2022
Est. copies
≈ 300k–487k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.9M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before the cut
$39.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure

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