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How many copies did Primal Carnage: Extinction sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 483k–785k
$1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.1M before the cut
from 10k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Primal Carnage: Extinction out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Primal Carnage: Extinction's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 411k–527k
best case 3.8M (ARK: Survival Ascended)
Games like Primal Carnage: Extinction

The middle of these games

≈ 411k–527k copies

≈ $2.9M–$3.9M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: ARK: Survival Ascended at ≈ 2.9M–4.7M copies, ≈ $35.6M–$95.7M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Dinosaurs (7 of 8) and Open World (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dinosaurs, priced around $23. The breakout hits carry Building + Adventure + Base-Building; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2011 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Age of Wonders: Planetfall
2019
Est. copies
≈ 191k–311k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.5M before the cut
$29.99
7k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
ARK: The Survival Of The Fittest
2017
Est. copies
≈ 406k–660k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
12k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlaySurvival
ARK: Survival Ascended
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.7M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$35.6M–$95.7M after Steam's cut $64.7M–$147.3M before the cut
$44.99
116k reviews
Mixed
Early AccessSurvival
PixARK
2019
Est. copies
≈ 389k–631k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before the cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World
Primal Carnage
2012
Est. copies
≈ 366k–595k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$502k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $913k–$2.1M before the cut
$4.99
6k reviews
Mostly Positive
DinosaursAction
Dino D-Day
2011
Est. copies
≈ 955k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$10.9M before the cut
$9.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
DinosaursMultiplayer
ORION: Prelude
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$488k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $887k–$2.0M before the cut
$0.99
28k reviews
Mostly Positive
DinosaursAction
Beasts of Bermuda
2018
Est. copies
≈ 296k–481k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.7M before the cut
$19.99
10k reviews
Mixed
DinosaursSimulation

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