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wishvane

How many copies did SUPERHOT sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
$11.6M–$31.3M after Steam's cut $21.2M–$48.1M before the cut
from 41k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left SUPERHOT out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SUPERHOT's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 829k–1.6M
best case 5.7M (Killing Floor)
Games like SUPERHOT

The middle of these games

≈ 829k–1.6M copies

≈ $6.2M–$7.4M after Steam's cut

from ~19k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Killing Floor at ≈ 4.4M–7.1M copies, ≈ $23.9M–$64.3M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Shooter (7 of 8) and FPS (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Western + FPS, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Story Rich; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2009 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Call of Juarez: Gunslinger
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$11.5M–$30.9M after Steam's cut $20.9M–$47.6M before the cut
$14.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
WesternFPS
Sniper Elite V2
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 631k–1.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
25k reviews
Very Positive
SniperAction
DUSK
2018
Est. copies
≈ 774k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.3M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.6M before the cut
$19.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Boomer ShooterFPS
F.E.A.R.
2010
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.2M–$14.0M before the cut
$9.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
Sniper: Ghost Warrior 2
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.5M before the cut
$9.99
19k reviews
Mostly Positive
SniperAction
Max Payne 3
2012
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.3M–$59.9M after Steam's cut $40.5M–$92.1M before the cut
$19.99
64k reviews
Very Positive
ActionThird-Person Shooter
Killing Floor
2009
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$23.9M–$64.3M after Steam's cut $43.5M–$99.0M before the cut
$19.99
69k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSZombies
Trepang2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 480k–780k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.0M–$10.6M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.4M before the cut
$29.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
ShooterSingleplayer

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