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How many copies did Fledgling Manor sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–7k
$14k–$36k after Steam's cut $25k–$56k before the cut
from 169 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Fledgling Manor out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fledgling Manor's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 26k–1.4M
best case 1.3M (The Coffin of Andy and Leyley)
Games like Fledgling Manor

The middle of these games

≈ 26k–1.4M copies

≈ $147k–$14.4M after Steam's cut

from ~19k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

6 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Coffin of Andy and Leyley at ≈ 971k–1.6M copies, ≈ $3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 95 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 3 to 5k.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Visual Novel (8 of 8) and Anime (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Psychological + Dark Comedy, priced around $12.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Danganronpa V3: Killing Harmony
2017
Est. copies
≈ 798k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.8M–$23.6M after Steam's cut $15.9M–$36.3M before the cut
$39.99
23k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelDetective
The Coffin of Andy and Leyley
2023
Est. copies
≈ 971k–1.6M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before the cut
$11.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PsychologicalDark Comedy
Monster Prom
2018
Est. copies
≈ 436k–708k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before the cut
$11.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Dating SimComedy
Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.8M–$23.5M after Steam's cut $15.9M–$36.2M before the cut
$19.99
38k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeVisual Novel
Danganronpa 2: Goodbye Despair
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.2M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.1M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$30.9M before the cut
$19.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeDetective
Vampire Therapist
2024
Est. copies
≈ 25k–40k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$102k–$275k after Steam's cut $186k–$424k before the cut
$14.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelDark Comedy
Haunted Girls
2022
Est. copies
≈ 372–605
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$510–$1k after Steam's cut $928–$2k before the cut
$4.99
15 reviews
Mixed
AdventureVisual Novel
First Bite
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$11k–$30k after Steam's cut $20k–$46k before the cut
$9.99
164 reviews
Very Positive

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