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How many copies did Hirai Nya sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 744–1k
$816–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before the cut
from 30 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Hirai Nya out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hirai Nya's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 497–2k
best case 5k (If only I could go home early)
Games like Hirai Nya

The middle of these games

≈ 497–2k copies

≈ $413–$4k after Steam's cut

from ~34 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

None of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: If only I could go home early at ≈ 4k–6k copies, ≈ $4k–$11k after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 13 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 3 to 42.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on 2D Platformer (8 of 8) and Exploration (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Exploration + 2D Platformer, priced around $4.
The era
Only 3 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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1.8x vs typical
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$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$15k before the cut
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Metroidvania2D Platformer
Zebulon: A Lost Cat
2024
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Adventure2D Platformer
10mg: You are such a Soft and Round Kitten.
2020
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SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before the cut
$2.99
80 reviews
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AdventureExploration
Eshe's Wish Adventure
2022
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≈ 124–202
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$68–$183 after Steam's cut $123–$281 before the cut
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5 reviews
5 user reviews
Cats2D Platformer
Kitten Hero
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$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before the cut
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ExplorationPrecision Platformer
King Kitty Saves The Animals
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≈ 248–403
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$204–$548 after Steam's cut $371–$843 before the cut
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CasualAction-Adventure
If only I could go home early
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
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$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$17k before the cut
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Exploration2D Platformer
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Est. copies
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Mixed
CasualStrategy

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