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How many copies did Lord of the Rings: War in the North sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 605k–983k
from 10k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Lord of the Rings: War in the North out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lord of the Rings: War in the North's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 28.9M–74.2M
best case 132.9M (Grand Theft Auto V Legacy)
Games like Lord of the Rings: War in the North

The middle of these games

≈ 28.9M–74.2M copies

≈ $212.6M–$448.5M after Steam's cut

from ~726k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Grand Theft Auto V Legacy at ≈ 101.3M–164.6M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (6 of 8) and Survival (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Crime.
The era
The games you compared span 2011 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Grand Theft Auto V Legacy
2015
Est. copies
≈ 101.3M–164.6M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.1M reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Terraria
2011
Est. copies
≈ 97.9M–159.1M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$269.0M–$723.1M after Steam's cut $489.0M–$1112.5M before the cut
$9.99
1.5M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSandbox
Warframe
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.7M–69.4M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
676k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayAction RPG
ELDEN RING
2022
Est. copies
≈ 28.6M–46.4M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$471.3M–$1267.1M after Steam's cut $856.9M–$1949.4M before the cut
$59.99
1.2M reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeOpen World
ARK: Survival Evolved
2017
Est. copies
≈ 26.7M–43.4M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$110.1M–$296.0M after Steam's cut $200.2M–$455.4M before the cut
$14.99
776k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Valheim
2021
Est. copies
≈ 13.4M–21.8M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$110.6M–$297.4M after Steam's cut $201.1M–$457.5M before the cut
$29.99
541k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Dying Light
2015
Est. copies
≈ 24.1M–39.2M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$165.8M–$445.8M after Steam's cut $301.5M–$685.8M before the cut
$24.99
494k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesSurvival Horror
Monster Hunter: World
2018
Est. copies
≈ 15.7M–25.5M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$129.4M–$347.8M after Steam's cut $235.2M–$535.1M before the cut
$29.99
516k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opMultiplayer

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