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How many copies did Battlefleet Gothic: Armada (Classic) sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 252k–409k
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before the cut
from 6k reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Battlefleet Gothic: Armada (Classic) out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Battlefleet Gothic: Armada (Classic)'s, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 698k–1.1M
best case 1.1M (Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War III)
Games like Battlefleet Gothic: Armada (Classic)

The middle of these games

≈ 698k–1.1M copies

≈ $5.7M–$16.6M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War III at ≈ 820k–1.3M copies, ≈ $9.0M–$24.3M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on RTS (8 of 8) and Sci-fi (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Warhammer 40K + RTS, priced around $40.
The era
The games you compared span 2007 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War II: Retribution
unreleased
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≈ 325k–528k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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13k reviews
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Warhammer 40KStrategy
Homeworld Remastered Collection
2015
Est. copies
≈ 691k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.6M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.5M before the cut
$34.99
14k reviews
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SpaceStrategy
Battlefleet Gothic: Armada 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 317k–515k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.2M before the cut
$19.99
11k reviews
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SpaceStrategy
Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War III
2017
Est. copies
≈ 820k–1.3M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.0M–$24.3M after Steam's cut $16.4M–$37.3M before the cut
$39.99
24k reviews
Mixed
Warhammer 40KStrategy
Warhammer® 40,000: Dawn of War® - Soulstorm
2008
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Free
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18k reviews
Very Positive
Warhammer 40KStrategy
Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War - Anniversary Edition (Classic)
2007
Est. copies
≈ 753k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.3M after Steam's cut $5.6M–$12.8M before the cut
$14.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS
Warhammer® 40,000: Dawn of War® - Dark Crusade
2007
Est. copies
≈ 601k–977k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StrategyWarhammer 40K
Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War II - Anniversary Edition (Classic)
2009
Est. copies
≈ 879k–1.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.0M before the cut
$49.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Warhammer 40KStrategy

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.