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How many copies did Warhammer® 40,000: Dawn of War® - Dark Crusade sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 601k–977k
from 10k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Warhammer® 40,000: Dawn of War® - Dark Crusade out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Warhammer® 40,000: Dawn of War® - Dark Crusade's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–3.3M
best case 4.8M (Total War: WARHAMMER III)
Games like Warhammer® 40,000: Dawn of War® - Dark Crusade

The middle of these games

≈ 1.1M–3.3M copies

≈ $18.0M–$100.2M after Steam's cut

from ~21k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Total War: WARHAMMER III at ≈ 3.7M–6.0M copies, ≈ $60.5M–$162.7M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on RTS (8 of 8) and Games Workshop (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Strategy + Grand Strategy, priced around $60.
The era
The games you compared span 2007 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War II - Anniversary Edition (Classic)
2009
Est. copies
≈ 879k–1.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.0M before the cut
$49.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Warhammer 40KStrategy
Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War - Anniversary Edition (Classic)
2007
Est. copies
≈ 753k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.3M after Steam's cut $5.6M–$12.8M before the cut
$14.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS
Total War: WARHAMMER II
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.2M–6.8M
5.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$68.9M–$185.3M after Steam's cut $125.3M–$285.1M before the cut
$59.99
121k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyFantasy
Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War III
2017
Est. copies
≈ 820k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.0M–$24.3M after Steam's cut $16.4M–$37.3M before the cut
$39.99
24k reviews
Mixed
Warhammer 40KStrategy
Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War II: Retribution
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 325k–528k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
13k reviews
Very Positive
Warhammer 40KStrategy
Total War: WARHAMMER III
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
7.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$60.5M–$162.7M after Steam's cut $110.0M–$250.2M before the cut
$59.99
148k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Warhammer® 40,000: Dawn of War® - Soulstorm
2008
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
18k reviews
Very Positive
Warhammer 40KStrategy
Total War: WARHAMMER
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$35.9M–$96.5M after Steam's cut $65.3M–$148.5M before the cut
$59.99
52k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyFantasy

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