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How many copies did Dark Future: Blood Red States (Classic) sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 15k–24k
$101k–$272k after Steam's cut $184k–$418k before the cut
from 511 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Dark Future: Blood Red States (Classic) out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dark Future: Blood Red States (Classic)'s, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.0M–6.0M
best case 7.3M (Total War: ROME II - Emperor Edition)
Games like Dark Future: Blood Red States (Classic)

The middle of these games

≈ 3.0M–6.0M copies

≈ $47.7M–$117.2M after Steam's cut

from ~66k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

4 of your 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is RTS (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Total War: ROME II - Emperor Edition at ≈ 5.6M–9.0M copies, ≈ $91.8M–$246.8M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
The games that made it here had under 43 reviews in their first month.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on RTS (4 of 8) and Turn-Based Strategy (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Historical + Turn-Based Strategy, priced around $60.
The era
The games you compared span 2009 to 2026, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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