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How many copies did HELLDIVERS™ Dive Harder Edition sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
$9.0M–$24.1M after Steam's cut $16.3M–$37.0M before the cut
from 33k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left HELLDIVERS™ Dive Harder Edition out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including HELLDIVERS™ Dive Harder Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–2.3M
best case 3.8M (Brotato)
Games like HELLDIVERS™ Dive Harder Edition

The middle of these games

≈ 1.1M–2.3M copies

≈ $9.4M–$20.0M after Steam's cut

from ~39k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Co-op (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Brotato at ≈ 2.9M–4.8M copies, ≈ $4.0M–$10.8M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 18k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1k to 42k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Co-op (3 of 8) and Shooter (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rogue-like + Action Roguelike, priced around $5.
The era
The games you compared span 2010 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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