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How many copies did Hylics sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 441k–716k
$362k–$974k after Steam's cut $659k–$1.5M before the cut
from 9k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Hylics out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hylics's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–36k
best case 116k (Hylics 2)
Games like Hylics

The middle of these games

≈ 2k–36k copies

≈ $3k–$33k after Steam's cut

from ~237 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

1 of your 8 similar games is a hit.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Abstract (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Hylics 2 at ≈ 88k–143k copies, ≈ $364k–$978k after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Abstract (3 of 8) and Horror (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Surreal + Psychedelic, priced around $15.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Endless Empty
2018
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$11k–$29k after Steam's cut $19k–$44k before the cut
$3.99
318 reviews
Very Positive
RPGIndie
Hylics 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 88k–143k
15x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$364k–$978k after Steam's cut $662k–$1.5M before the cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGSurreal
Close Your Eyes [Old Version]
2015
Est. copies
≈ 38k–62k
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
782 reviews
Very Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureExploration
Found Horror Game 101.exe
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before the cut
$10.10
61 reviews
Mixed
IndieAdventure
Dark and Bright
2017
Est. copies
≈ 413–671
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$453–$1k after Steam's cut $824–$2k before the cut
$3.99
12 reviews
Positive
JRPGRPG
Please Love My Computer Game
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
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155 reviews
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Free to PlayHorror
M.E.M.E.S.
2019
Est. copies
≈ 144–234
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$277–$744 after Steam's cut $503–$1k before the cut
$6.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
RPGAdventure
Disillusion
2021
Est. copies
≈ 24k–40k
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$20k–$54k after Steam's cut $36k–$83k before the cut
$2.99
981 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureRPG

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