wishvane
How many copies did Stardew Valley sell?
Estimated copies sold
≈ 40.8M–66.3M
$168.2M–$452.2M net $305.8M–$695.8M gross
from 1.0M reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Stardew Valley out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Stardew Valley's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 882k–1.3M
best case 4.9M (DAVE THE DIVER)
The Pixel Graphics lane

A big, proven genre, though hit-driven: most sell around 914k copies, while a few break out far above.

A typical game
≈ 914k copies
≈ $6.3M after Steam's cut
from ~28k reviews
Best case
≈ 4.9M copies
DAVE THE DIVER · ≈ $38.2M after Steam's cut
from 157k reviews
A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

7 of your 8 games sit in the typical range; 1 is a breakout hit far above it.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count; typical figures are medians per column, so they can come from different games.

The lane you'd be entering
  • Winners here lead with Pixel Graphics + Casual, priced around $20.
  • The breakout hits carry Management + Fishing + Relaxing; a typical game here doesn't.
  • The games you compared span 2019 to 2025, a lane with a long track record.
  • A typical game here lands in Diamond ($1M+ before Steam's cut, est.). Tiers: Chris Zukowski's benchmark tiers.

Similar games

2021
Est. copies
≈ 796k–1.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M net $2.4M–$5.4M gross
$5.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsCasual +6
2025
Est. copies
≈ 660k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.3M net $4.9M–$11.3M gross
$14.99
27k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftMultiplayer +6
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.5M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.6M–$23.2M net $15.7M–$35.6M gross
$19.99
65k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsOpen World Survival Craft +6
2023
Est. copies
≈ 603k–979k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.1M net $7.5M–$17.1M gross
$24.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
Farming SimPixel Graphics +6
2020
Est. copies
≈ 696k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
26k reviews
Very Positive
IdlerClicker +6
2024
Est. copies
≈ 684k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.1M net $4.8M–$10.9M gross
$13.99
28k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessFarming Sim +6
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.1M
5.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$20.7M–$55.6M net $37.6M–$85.6M gross
$19.99
157k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsCasual +6
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.0M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.9M–$18.6M net $12.6M–$28.6M gross
$19.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival +6

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.

Copies and revenue are rough estimates from public review counts, not exact sales. Data from Steam and SteamSpy. About · Privacy · Examples