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How many copies did Written in the Sky sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 97k–158k
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Written in the Sky out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Written in the Sky's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–2.0M
best case 3.4M (Mirror)
Games like Written in the Sky

The middle of these games

≈ 1.3M–2.0M copies

≈ $6.1M–$7.8M after Steam's cut

from ~28k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Mirror at ≈ 2.6M–4.2M copies, ≈ $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Anime (8 of 8) and Mature (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mature + Anime, priced around $2. The breakout hits carry NSFW + Female Protagonist + Choices Matter; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Mirror
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before the cut
$1.99
84k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Tricolour Lovestory
2017
Est. copies
≈ 965k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$528k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $960k–$2.2M before the cut
$1.99
28k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelDating Sim
ATRI -My Dear Moments-
2020
Est. copies
≈ 577k–937k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$9.0M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.8M before the cut
$20.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAnime
HuniePop
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.6M before the cut
$9.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
NudityMature
NEKOPARA Vol. 1
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.3M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before the cut
$9.99
27k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HentaiAnime
Crush Crush
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
28k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Danganronpa 2: Goodbye Despair
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.1M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$30.9M before the cut
$19.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeDetective
Everlasting Summer
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
78k reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.