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How many copies did Megaton Rainfall sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 79k–128k
$346k–$930k after Steam's cut $629k–$1.4M before the cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Megaton Rainfall out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Megaton Rainfall's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.6M–8.7M
best case 10.2M (Batman™: Arkham Knight)
Games like Megaton Rainfall

The middle of these games

≈ 4.6M–8.7M copies

≈ $60.2M–$85.8M after Steam's cut

from ~139k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

5 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Batman™: Arkham Knight at ≈ 7.8M–12.6M copies, ≈ $42.7M–$114.8M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 403 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 11 to 38k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (7 of 8) and Superhero (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Superhero, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2024, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Teardown
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.7M–$74.5M after Steam's cut $50.4M–$114.7M before the cut
$29.99
136k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DestructionPhysics
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too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
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$226k–$608k after Steam's cut $411k–$936k before the cut
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2k reviews
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AdventureAction
Street Hero
2020
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too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
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FightingSuperhero
Just Cause™ 3
2015
Est. copies
≈ 6.2M–10.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$34.3M–$92.2M after Steam's cut $62.4M–$141.9M before the cut
$19.99
128k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Batman™: Arkham Knight
2015
Est. copies
≈ 7.8M–12.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$42.7M–$114.8M after Steam's cut $77.7M–$176.7M before the cut
$19.99
159k reviews
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ActionOpen World
Marvel’s Spider-Man Remastered
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$57.9M–$155.7M after Steam's cut $105.3M–$239.5M before the cut
$59.99
142k reviews
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Open WorldSuperhero
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≈ 645–1k
too small to compare
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SingleplayerVillain Protagonist
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2024
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
too small to compare
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$1.99
173 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationPolitics

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