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How many copies did Aseprite sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
$6.1M–$16.5M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.3M before the cut
from 27k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Aseprite out and predicted the genre from its 6 similar games. Every figure here, including Aseprite's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 293–5.0M
best case 6.6M (Grand Theft Auto IV: The Complete Edition)
Games like Aseprite

The middle of these games

≈ 293–5.0M copies

≈ $377–$332k after Steam's cut

from ~848 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

3 of your 6 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Arcade (2 of 6), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Grand Theft Auto IV: The Complete Edition at ≈ 5.0M–8.1M copies, ≈ $27.6M–$74.1M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
The games that made it here had under 58k reviews in their first month.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Arcade (2 of 6) and Automobile Sim (2 of 6).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Automobile Sim, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2025, and 2 of your 5 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Grand Theft Auto IV: The Complete Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
239x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$27.6M–$74.1M after Steam's cut $50.1M–$114.0M before the cut
$19.99
202k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Grand Theft Auto IV: Complete Edition
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
239x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
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Free
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202k reviews
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Open WorldAction
PewDiePie: Legend of the Brofist
2015
Est. copies
≈ 82k–133k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$180k–$483k after Steam's cut $327k–$744k before the cut
$7.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
MemesPixel Graphics
Date Night Bowling
2021
Est. copies
≈ 446–725
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before the cut
$9.99
18 reviews
Positive
Dating SimBowling
Mr. Goofer’s Mini Game Arcade Party!
2025
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$205–$549 after Steam's cut $372–$845 before the cut
$4.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
ArcadeCartoony
Phantom
2024
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$41–$109 after Steam's cut $75–$168 before the cut
$5.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
RPGCasual

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