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How many copies did Octahedron: Transfixed Edition sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–10k
$22k–$58k after Steam's cut $39k–$89k before the cut
from 199 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Octahedron: Transfixed Edition out and predicted the genre from its 5 similar games. Every figure here, including Octahedron: Transfixed Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5k–272k
best case 46.9M (Geometry Dash)
Games like Octahedron: Transfixed Edition

The middle of these games

≈ 5k–272k copies

≈ $10k–$840k after Steam's cut

from ~404 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

2 of your 5 similar games are hits.

Best case: Geometry Dash at ≈ 35.7M–58.0M copies, ≈ $49.0M–$131.7M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 26 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 10 to 165.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Platformer (4 of 5) and Precision Platformer (4 of 5).
The winners
Winners here lead with Music + Level Editor, priced around $5.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Geometry Dash
2014
Est. copies
≈ 35.7M–58.0M
1578x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$49.0M–$131.7M after Steam's cut $89.1M–$202.7M before the cut
$4.99
638k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultMusic
Froggie
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before the cut
$0.99
161 reviews
Very Positive
RetroCute
Electronic Super Joy
2013
Est. copies
≈ 207k–337k
8.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$455k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $828k–$1.9M before the cut
$7.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerIndie
SATANIC PANIC 666
2021
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before the cut
$4.99
159 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionPlatformer
BIT.TRIP RERUNNER
2023
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$55k–$148k after Steam's cut $100k–$228k before the cut
$19.99
404 reviews
Very Positive

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